KETERGANTUNGAN SUMBER DAYA ALAM DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO DI PULAU SULAWESI: STUDI EMPIRIS TERHADAP FENOMENA RESOURCE CURSE

DELFIATIFFANY, ADHEA MITA (2025) KETERGANTUNGAN SUMBER DAYA ALAM DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO DI PULAU SULAWESI: STUDI EMPIRIS TERHADAP FENOMENA RESOURCE CURSE. Tesis thesis, UPN Veteran Yogyakarta.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT
Natural resource abundance does not always guarantee successful regional economic
development. In many cases, heavy reliance on extractive sectors can lead to structural
disparities and growth stagnation, a condition widely referred to as the resource curse. This
study aims to identify early signs of the resource curse in six provinces across Sulawesi
Island and to examine the influence of the Regional Resource curse Index (RRCI) on Gross
Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) during the period 2013–2023. A quantitative
approach was employed by constructing a composite RRCI derived from the Natural
Resource Dependency Index (NRDI) and the Regional Sustainable Development Index
(RSDI), followed by regression analysis using Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS), with nickel
commodity prices used as an instrumental variable. The results show that the highest RRCI
value was recorded in Southeast Sulawesi at 49.7 in 2023, followed closely by West
Sulawesi and North Sulawesi, both with scores of 50.8. While the OLS and Fixed Effects
models found no significant effect of RRCI on GRDP, the 2SLS estimation revealed a
significant and positive causal relationship, with a lnRRCI coefficient of 0.5438 at the 1%
significance level. These findings suggest that regional economic growth remains strongly
driven by the extractive sector, although its contribution may be short-lived. This study
concludes that Sulawesi Island has not yet fully experienced the resource curse, but early
indications are present. Strengthening institutional capacity and developing alternative
economic sectors are necessary to prevent long-term dependency on natural resources.
Keywords: Regional Resource curse Index, Resource curse, Natural Resources, Sustainable
Development, Sulawesi, Instrumental Variable
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INTISARI
Kekayaan sumber daya alam (SDA) tidak selalu sejalan dengan keberhasilan pembangunan
ekonomi wilayah. Dalam banyak kasus, ketergantungan yang tinggi terhadap sektor
ekstraktif justru dapat menimbulkan ketimpangan dan stagnasi pembangunan, suatu kondisi
yang dikenal sebagai resource curse. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi gejala
resource curse di enam provinsi Pulau Sulawesi dan menganalisis pengaruh Regional
Resource curse Index (RRCI) terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) selama
periode 2013–2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan membentuk
indeks komposit RRCI berdasarkan gabungan Natural Resource Dependency Index (NRDI)
dan Regional Sustainable Development Index (RSDI), serta mengestimasi hubungan kausal
menggunakan regresi Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS), dengan harga komoditas nikel
sebagai variabel instrumen. Hasil penghitungan menunjukkan bahwa nilai RRCI tertinggi
terdapat di Provinsi Sulawesi Tenggara dengan skor mencapai 49,7 pada tahun 2023,
disusul oleh Sulawesi Barat dan Sulawesi Utara dengan nilai 50,8. Sementara itu, regresi
dua tahap menunjukkan bahwa lnRRCI berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap
lnPDRB, dengan koefisien sebesar 0,5438 (signifikan pada level 1%). Temuan ini

Item Type:	Tugas Akhir (Tesis)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Regional Resource curse Index, Resource curse, Natural Resources, Sustainable Development, Sulawesi, Instrumental Variable
Subjek:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions:	Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > (S2) Magister Ilmu Ekonomi
Depositing User:	Eko Yuli
Date Deposited:	10 Sep 2025 02:26
Last Modified:	10 Sep 2025 02:26
URI:	http://eprints.upnyk.ac.id/id/eprint/43630

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