Nurrohman, Muhammad Farly Fahreza (2025) ANALISIS PENGARUH PDRB, INFLASI, LUAS PANEN DAN JUMLAH PENDUDUK TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR PETANI DI 34 PROVINSI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2018-2024. Skripsi thesis, UPN Veteran Yogyakarta.
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Abstract
INTISARI
Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh PDRB, inflasi, luas panen, dan jumlah penduduk
terhadap nilai tukar petani (NTP) di 34 provinsi di Indonesia selama periode 2018
2024. Nilai tukar petani digunakan sebagai indikator kesejahteraan petani, yang
mencerminkan daya beli mereka terhadap produk konsumsi dan input produksi.
Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode regresi data panel,
yang terdiri dari uji Chow, uji Hausman, dan uji Lagrange Multiplier untuk menentukan
model regresi terbaik. Selain itu, dilakukan uji asumsi klasik untuk memastikan
validitas model, termasuk uji normalitas, multikolinearitas, heteroskedastisitas, dan
autokorelasi. Hasil regresi data panel menunjukkan bahwa jumlah penduduk dan luas
panen berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai tukar petani (NTP),
menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan populasi dan optimalisasi lahan pertanian dapat
meningkatkan kesejahteraan petani. Sebaliknya, inflasi tidak memiliki pengaruh
signifikan, yang menandakan bahwa perubahan harga tidak selalu berdampak langsung
terhadap daya beli petani. Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) terbukti memiliki
pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai tukar petani, yang menunjukkan bahwa
pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah berperan penting dalam meningkatkan kesejahteraan
petani. Hasil penelitian ini menggarisbawahi pentingnya kebijakan ekonomi yang
berfokus pada pengembangan sektor pertanian, terutama dalam optimalisasi lahan,
pengendalian inflasi, serta peningkatan investasi pada sektor pertanian untuk
memastikan keberlanjutan ekonomi dan kesejahteraan petani.
Kata Kunci: Nilai Tukar Petani, PDRB, Inflasi, Luas Panen, Jumlah Penduduk
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ABSTRACT
This study analyzes the influence of economic growth, inflation, harvested area, and
population on the Farmers’ Exchange Rate (Nilai Tukar Petani/NTP) in 34 provinces
of Indonesia during the 2018–2024 period. NTP serves as an indicator of farmers'
welfare, reflecting their purchasing power for consumption goods and production
inputs. This research employs a quantitative approach using panel data regression
methods, including Chow test, Hausman test, and Lagrange Multiplier test to
determine the most suitable regression model. Additionally, classical assumption tests
such as normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation are
conducted to validate the model. The panel data regression results indicate that
population size and harvested area have a positive and significant impact on NTP,
suggesting that population growth and optimized agricultural land contribute to
improved farmer welfare. Meanwhile, inflation does not exhibit a significant effect,
suggesting that price fluctuations do not always directly influence farmers' purchasing
power. Additionally, regional Gross Domestic Product (PDRB) has a positive and
significant impact on NTP, demonstrating that regional economic growth plays a
crucial role in enhancing farmers' welfare. These findings emphasize the importance
of economic policies focused on agricultural sector development, particularly in
optimizing land use, controlling inflation, and increasing investments in agriculture to
ensure economic sustainability and farmer prosperity.
Keywords: Farmers’ Exchange Rate (NTP), PDRB, Inflation, Harvested Area,
Population
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| Item Type: | Tugas Akhir (Skripsi) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Farmers’ Exchange Rate (NTP), PDRB, Inflation, Harvested Area, Population |
| Subjek: | H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > (S1) Ekonomi Pembangunan |
| Depositing User: | Eko Yuli |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Aug 2025 09:24 |
| Last Modified: | 28 Aug 2025 09:24 |
| URI: | http://eprints.upnyk.ac.id/id/eprint/43585 |
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