Pratiwi, Liana Fatma Leslie and Al Rosyid, Ali Hasyim (2020) Forecasting Of Chili Prices In The Special Region Of Yogyakarta, Indonesia Based On Harga Pangan Applications (Arima Approach). In: Proceedings The 4th International Conference on Green Agro-Industry, 22 - 23 Oktober 2019, Grand Inna Malioboro, Yogyakarta.
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Abstract
The price of chili has characteristics that are unstable and fluctuating, this causes stakeholders difficulty in making decisions about the price of chili. The scarcity of chili production causes demand to increase so that the price of chili also rises. Information is needed regarding the predicted fluctuations in chili price trends so that market demand for chili can be known. The purpose of this research is to create a model and predicted the price of large red chili and curly red chili. This research was conducted using the time series data price of large red chili and curly red chili during 40 periods starting from July 2016 up to October 2019 to predict price red chili and curly red chili for 12 the next periods began November 2019 and ended on October 2020. The data was obtained from Harga Pangan (Pusat Informasi Harga Pangan Strategis) Bank Indonesia application using the price of chili in the Special Region of Yogyakarta. The results of the forecasting model using ARIMA shows that the price of large red chili and curly red chili for 12 periods has increased gradually and forecasting results close to the actual data.
| Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
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| Uncontrolled Keywords: | ARIMA, chili price, forecasting, harga pangan application |
| Subjects: | S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General) |
| Depositing User: | S.P., M.Sc Danar Wicaksono |
| Date Deposited: | 25 Jun 2020 05:14 |
| Last Modified: | 25 Jun 2020 05:14 |
| URI: | http://eprints.upnyk.ac.id/id/eprint/22781 |
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